Somaliland: Israeli recognition as a driver of strategic reconfiguration in the Horn of Africa
Analysis Israel’s announced decision to recognize the Somaliland region represents far more than an isolated diplomatic gesture. It is part of a broader geopolitical realignment, in which the Horn of Africa ( already weakened by internal conflicts and interstate rivalries) emerges as a new arena for the indirect spillover of Middle Eastern tensions. The analysis conducted by Aden Omar Abdillahi (Researcher at IEPS-CERD) and Hassan Omar Ahmed (Associate Researcher at IEPS-CERD) highlights a series of systemic effects that go well beyond the question of Somaliland’s status alone. The move constitutes a potential turning point for regional security, African norms of sovereignty, and the strategic architecture of the Red Sea. Over the past decade, Somalia has followed a trajectory of gradual reconstruction, marked by the consolidation of federal institutions, expanded diplomatic recognition, and the progressive transfer of security responsibilities from international forces to nation...